Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.479675 0.563316 0.655149 0.763180 0.886489 1.022548 1.183725
2024-10-27 0.350406 0.461062 0.594622 0.766446 0.980248 1.236033 1.563554
2024-11-03 0.274880 0.398879 0.561062 0.785775 1.085628 1.468121 1.988421
2024-11-10 0.220325 0.348814 0.529157 0.795521 1.172571 1.679834 2.404819
2024-11-17 0.179478 0.307663 0.499404 0.799104 1.245759 1.874772 2.812235
2024-11-24 0.150958 0.278280 0.480007 0.811621 1.328667 2.086206 3.256455
2024-12-01 0.126808 0.250545 0.457537 0.814155 1.393740 2.273982 3.678369
2024-12-08 0.102443 0.217189 0.419923 0.785858 1.405265 2.379344 3.982362
2024-12-15 0.091250 0.205431 0.416683 0.813075 1.506881 2.629407 4.523619
2024-12-22 0.080810 0.192940 0.409884 0.832389 1.595791 2.864408 5.055907
2024-12-29 0.075514 0.189834 0.419781 0.882187 1.740650 3.199911 5.770932
2025-01-05 0.065147 0.173729 0.401991 0.877831 1.788329 3.375285 6.232532
2025-01-12 0.055522 0.157549 0.382131 0.868004 1.826835 3.540982 6.695319
2025-01-19 0.047551 0.143530 0.364593 0.860465 1.868611 3.715258 7.184730
2025-01-26 0.042537 0.135785 0.359471 0.877609 1.959013 3.982385 7.853147
2025-02-02 0.037657 0.127253 0.351168 0.886746 2.033966 4.225833 8.493691
2025-02-09 0.033103 0.118503 0.340900 0.890088 2.096985 4.450594 9.113020
2025-02-16 0.029676 0.112193 0.335530 0.903616 2.181862 4.721812 9.832995
2025-02-23 0.026176 0.104752 0.326060 0.906315 2.243628 4.951771 10.488106
2025-03-02 0.021783 0.093163 0.303690 0.875197 2.228759 5.029117 10.856466
2025-03-09 0.020233 0.090828 0.306074 0.905085 2.351496 5.389467 11.790534
2025-03-16 0.018531 0.087489 0.305093 0.926291 2.456150 5.718991 12.681003
2025-03-23 0.017996 0.088398 0.316583 0.980951 2.642149 6.226934 13.949822